Why Is Visa (V) Down 2.2% Since Last Earnings Report?

Core Viewpoint - Visa's recent earnings report shows strong performance with a year-over-year increase in earnings per share and net revenues, despite facing rising operating expenses and a slight decline in cash flows [2][3][10]. Financial Performance - Visa reported Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $2.98, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.97, marking a 10% increase year over year [2]. - Net revenues reached $10.7 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year improvement and surpassing the consensus mark by 1% [2]. - Processed transactions grew 10% year over year to 67.7 billion, exceeding estimates [4]. Business Drivers - Payments volume increased by 9% year over year on a constant-dollar basis, driven by growth in the U.S., Europe, CEMEA, and LAC regions [4]. - Cross-border volume rose 12% year over year on a constant-dollar basis, with an 11% increase excluding transactions within Europe [5]. Revenue Breakdown - Service revenues increased 10% year over year to $4.6 billion, driven by expanding payment volumes [6]. - Data processing revenues grew 17% year over year to $5.4 billion, beating estimates [6]. - International transaction revenues rose 10% year over year to $3.8 billion, driven by higher cross-border volumes [7]. Operating Expenses - Adjusted operating expenses increased 13% year over year to $3.6 billion, primarily due to higher personnel costs and professional fees [8]. - Interest expenses rose 19.3% year over year to $210 million [8]. Balance Sheet - As of September 30, 2025, Visa had cash and cash equivalents of $17.2 billion, up from $12 billion at the end of fiscal 2024 [9]. - Total assets increased to $99.6 billion from $94.5 billion at the end of fiscal 2024 [9]. - Long-term debt decreased to $19.6 billion from $20.8 billion [9]. Cash Flow and Capital Deployment - Visa generated net cash from operations of $6.2 billion in Q4, a decline of 6.4% year over year [10]. - The company returned $6.1 billion to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends, with $24.9 billion remaining under its repurchase program [11]. Fiscal Year Updates - For fiscal 2025, Visa achieved net revenues of $40 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS rising 14% to $11.47 [12]. - The company anticipates low double-digit growth in net revenues and operating expenses for fiscal 2026 [14]. Market Outlook - Estimates for Visa have trended upward, indicating a promising outlook, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggesting an in-line return in the coming months [15][18].