小鹏汽车-W(9868.HK):Q3总毛利继续提升 AI业务及全球化战略提速
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-27 20:04

Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors reported Q3 2025 revenue of 20.38 billion, a year-on-year increase of 101.8%, with a gross margin of 20.1%, up 4.8 percentage points, and a net loss of 380 million [1][2] - The company launched its second-generation VLA model on November 5, which introduces a "physical world model" for smart driving applications across multiple scenarios [1] - Xiaopeng aims to achieve mass production of advanced humanoid robots by the end of 2026, with significant progress in its global strategy, including local production in Europe [2] Financial Performance - Q3 vehicle revenue reached 18.05 billion, a year-on-year increase of 105%, with a gross margin of 13.1% [1] - The service and other profit margin was 74.6%, showing growth both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to revenue from technology research and development services [1] - For Q4, the company projects delivery volumes of 125,000 to 132,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 37% to 44%, and total revenue of 21.5 to 23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34% to 43% [2] Strategic Developments - The second-generation VLA model will be co-created with pioneer users by the end of December 2025 and will be fully pushed to the Xiaopeng Ultra model in Q1 2026 [1] - The new IRON humanoid robot was unveiled, featuring three Turing AI chips and solid-state batteries, targeting commercial applications such as guiding and shopping [1] - Xiaopeng's overseas deliveries exceeded 29,000 units from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 125%, with local production projects initiated in Indonesia and Austria, and a research center established in Munich, Germany [2] Future Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 79 billion, 133.6 billion, and 159.8 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 93%, 69%, and 20% [2] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-sales ratios of 1.81, 1.07, and 0.89 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [2]