Ge Long Hui·2025-11-27 20:04Group 1: Financial Performance - Net revenue for Q3 2025 was 28.4 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 8%, but 3% lower than Bloomberg's expectations, primarily due to deferred game revenue [1] - GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.6 billion, up 32% year-over-year, in line with Bloomberg's expectations [1] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.5 billion, a 27% increase year-over-year, slightly below Bloomberg's expectations by 1% [1] Group 2: Gaming Segment Insights - Total revenue from games and related value-added services reached 23.3 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, but 2% lower than Bloomberg's expectations, mainly due to unrecognized revenue from contract liabilities [1] - The active user base for the game "Dream of the Red Chamber" continues to reach new highs, while "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" is expected to perform well in Q4 overseas [1] - Anticipated stable performance for mobile games in Q4, driven by recovery growth in "Egg Party" and significant contributions from "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" [1] Group 3: Online Music Business - Cloud music revenue for Q3 2025 was 2 billion, a decrease of 2% year-over-year, and 3% lower than Bloomberg's expectations, attributed to fluctuations in digital album content [2] - The company expects stable growth in traffic and paid memberships due to the return of copyrights and continuous content additions in the second half of the year [2] - Online music revenue is projected to maintain a 10% growth rate in Q4, driven by an improved music library and increasing paid user rates [2] Group 4: Future Growth Prospects - The company anticipates the launch of the new game "Forgotten Sea" in 2026, which is expected to drive growth [2] - Profit forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 36.2 billion, 39.8 billion, and 45 billion respectively, based on game performance and Q3 financial adjustments [2] - The company maintains a target price of 248.49 HKD / 226.29 CNY, with a "Buy" rating [2]