大金重工(002487)：公司新签大额海外订单 自持风电场加速推进 建议“买进”

Core Viewpoint - The company signed an exclusive supply contract for a transitional phase of an offshore wind farm project with a European energy company, amounting to approximately RMB 1.339 billion, which represents about 35.4% of the company's revenue for 2024 [1][2]. Group 1: Offshore Wind Projects - The project is expected to be delivered by 2027, and with the acceleration of offshore wind construction in Europe, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 4.595 billion in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 99%, and a net profit of RMB 0.887 billion, a year-on-year increase of 214.6% [3]. - The company has accumulated over RMB 10 billion in overseas offshore engineering orders, expected to be delivered between 2026 and 2027, with overseas revenue anticipated to maintain a growth rate of over 20% in the next two years [3]. - The company is actively planning to build its own transportation vessels and establish a total assembly base in Europe to enhance delivery capabilities [3]. Group 2: Onshore Wind Projects - The company plans to invest in three onshore wind projects with a total capacity of 950 MW and an estimated total investment of no more than RMB 4.38 billion, funded by its own capital and loans [3]. - The projects are located in Tangshan, benefiting from favorable wind resources, with expected internal rates of return of 17.05%, 13.27%, and 11.82% for the respective projects [3]. - The construction period for these projects is estimated to be 12-18 months, with partial grid connection expected by the end of 2026 [3]. Group 3: Financial Projections - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to RMB 1.19 billion, RMB 1.59 billion, and RMB 2.16 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 152%, 33%, and 35% respectively [1][4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 1.87, RMB 2.50, and RMB 3.38 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26, 19.6, and 14.5 times based on current A-share prices [1][4].