人民币兑美元中间价报7.0789，下调10点！机构：美元可能在2026年因美联储的降息而下跌

Group 1 - The central parity rate of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar is reported at 7.0789, a decrease of 10 points [2] - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December has risen to 86.9%, with a 13.1% chance of maintaining the current rate [4] - The cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed by January next year is 67.3%, while the probability of no change is 9.6%, and a cumulative cut of 50 basis points stands at 23.1% [4] Group 2 - Pictet Asset Management strategist Luca Paolini indicates that the US dollar may face a new round of weakness due to anticipated Fed rate cuts as economic growth slows [5] - The narrowing interest rate differential is expected to contribute to the dollar's decline, with a forecast that the dollar index will drop from approximately 99.55 to 95 by the end of 2026 [5] - The US economy is projected to weaken slightly, leading to a gradual reduction in inflationary pressures, while economic growth in other regions, particularly Europe and Japan, may improve [5]