Ge Long Hui·2025-11-28 04:12Core Viewpoint - The company's Q3 2025 performance met market expectations, with a revenue of 21.79 billion yuan and a Non-GAAP net loss of 2.7 billion yuan, indicating ongoing reform effectiveness and operational improvements [1]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached 21.79 billion yuan, with a Non-GAAP net loss of 2.7 billion yuan, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The company delivered 87,071 vehicles in Q3 2025, achieving a comprehensive gross margin of 13.9%, up 3.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, and an automotive gross margin of 14.7%, up 4.4 percentage points, marking the best quarterly performance since Q1 2023 [1]. - R&D and selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses were 2.39 billion yuan and 4.19 billion yuan, respectively, with R&D expenses decreasing by approximately 600 million yuan quarter-on-quarter, while SG&A expenses increased due to new model cycles [1]. Development Trends - The company expects Q4 deliveries to reach 120,000 to 125,000 vehicles, maintaining a high level of sales [1]. - By 2026, the company anticipates a strong product cycle and internal operational improvements, with existing models expected to support sales recovery [1]. - The company plans to launch three SUV models (ES9, ES7, L80) in Q2-Q3 2026, aiming to strengthen its position in the pure electric vehicle market [1]. Cash Flow and Financing - The company reported positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in Q3, supported by a strong product cycle [2]. - On September 17, the company completed a public offering of new shares, raising $1.16 billion to fund core technology development, new platform and model development, and infrastructure expansion, enhancing its financial stability [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Current valuations for U.S. and Hong Kong stocks are projected at 0.7x and 0.8x P/S for 2026, respectively [2]. - The company adjusted its non-GAAP profit forecasts for 2025/26 from -10.27 billion yuan and 5.43 billion yuan to -13.17 billion yuan and 3.67 billion yuan, maintaining an outperform rating [2]. - Target prices for Hong Kong and U.S. stocks were reduced by 9% to 62 HKD and 8 USD, respectively, indicating potential upside of 32% and 46% from current prices [2].