研报掘金丨长江证券:宁德时代经营端稳定增长 持续扩产拥抱新周期
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-28 06:37

Core Viewpoint - Ningde Times reported a Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders of 18.549 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.26% [1] Company Performance - The company’s power and energy storage battery revenue continues to grow, driven by scale expansion [1] - Inventory at the end of Q3 stood at 80.21 billion yuan, up 45.3% year-on-year, indicating a significant amount of unrecognized revenue related to energy storage [1] - The company maintains a high capacity utilization rate [1] Industry Outlook - The lithium battery industry is expected to remain in a high-growth phase, with 2025 projected to sustain high growth rates [1] - Anticipated growth in overseas non-American large storage, domestic large storage, and commercial vehicles in 2026 [1] - New model cycles in European power markets and increased battery capacity per vehicle in China are expected to support power demand [1] Strategic Recommendations - The company is recommended due to its accelerated capital expenditure and increased market share from capacity expansion [1] - The long-term layout of the company, including battery banks, zero-carbon grids, and solid-state batteries, is not fully priced in, providing business options [1] - The company is positioned to benefit from valuation expansion due to stable profitability in the global manufacturing sector [1] Financial Projections - Expected net profits for the company are projected to be 67.9 billion yuan in 2025 and 90 billion yuan in 2026, with a corresponding PE ratio of 19X for 2026 [1]