Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the recovery of the Hong Kong real estate market will be a gradual process covering different asset sub-sectors [1] - The company expects investors to prioritize the recovery of the residential sector, followed by quality retail assets, and finally core office spaces [1] - The industry rating has been upgraded from "in-line" to "outperform," with New World Development and Link REIT identified as preferred picks for residential and commercial properties respectively [1] Group 2 - Key supports for market recovery include improvements in macro uncertainty (especially interest rate cuts), significant easing of the policy environment, and the return of fundamental demand drivers [1] - The company forecasts that residential rental levels will increase by approximately 3% to 5% in 2025, with annual increases of about 3% in 2026 and 2027 [1] - Residential prices are expected to rise by 3% to 5% in 2025, 5% in 2026, and 5% in 2027 [1]
大行评级丨交银国际:上调香港房地产行业评级至“领先” 首选新鸿基地产及领展