摩根士丹利中国邢自强:科技创新与消费提振双轮驱动,中国经济前景可期

Group 1 - The conference on November 28, 2025, gathered experts and analysts to explore investment strategies through economic cycles [1] - Morgan Stanley's Chief Economist for China, Xing Ziqiang, highlighted China's significant achievements in technological innovation and its critical role in the new technological revolution [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims for high-quality and sustainable growth driven by technological innovation and domestic demand [3] Group 2 - Xing emphasized that technological innovation is the core engine of economic development, showcasing China's breakthroughs in sectors like semiconductors, green energy, artificial intelligence, and 6G during the "13th" and "14th Five-Year Plans" [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" also focuses on improving people's livelihoods and boosting consumption, with a target to increase the share of household consumption in GDP [4] - The plan includes a proposal to provide monthly subsidies of approximately 1,000 RMB to farmers and migrant workers, aiming to enhance consumption confidence and push household consumption beyond 10 trillion USD by 2030 [4] Group 3 - Xing proposed a "source and save" approach for fiscal sustainability, suggesting the activation of state-owned assets and optimizing fiscal expenditure to better allocate resources towards social welfare [4] - The long-term positive fundamentals of the Chinese economy remain unchanged, with technological self-reliance and domestic demand expansion expected to create new growth momentum [4] - Continuous policy consensus and deepening reforms will provide significant opportunities for global investors in the Chinese financial market [4]