Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-28 12:17Core Viewpoint - Vanke's request for domestic bond extension amid ongoing turbulence in the real estate sector has raised significant market concerns, marking a first in the company's history despite previous support from its major shareholder, Shenzhen Metro [1][4]. Group 1: Bond Extension Context - Bond extension is a financial maneuver where a company, facing insufficient funds at debt maturity, negotiates with creditors to prolong repayment terms [2]. - The process requires communication with numerous creditors, and the extension only becomes effective if a specific consent rate is achieved; failure to secure enough support could lead to default risks and subsequent financial repercussions [2]. Group 2: Financial Support from Shenzhen Metro - Since February 2025, Shenzhen Metro has provided Vanke with a total liquidity support of 31.46 billion yuan, with actual withdrawals amounting to 30.8 billion yuan, granting Vanke critical time for adjustments during industry downturns [4][6]. - There are speculations regarding a potential shift in Shenzhen Metro's support strategy, with indications from the central government suggesting a move towards a "market-oriented" approach to handle Vanke's debt issues [4][6]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Debt Situation - Vanke reported a cumulative loss of 28.02 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a significant increase in financial pressure [6]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, Vanke's total liabilities exceeded 830 billion yuan, supported by total assets of 1.1 trillion yuan; however, asset liquidation remains challenging in the current market downturn [6][7]. Group 4: Industry Implications - The situation presents Vanke with a dilemma: to continue relying on major shareholder support or to proactively engage in debt restructuring under market rules [8][10]. - Vanke's approach to debt resolution could set a precedent for the real estate industry, influencing future debt management strategies among other firms [10].