高盛点评“中国AI大厂之战”:阿里 vs 腾讯 vs 字节
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-11-29 09:18

Core Insights - The report by Goldman Sachs highlights the intense competition in China's AI sector, focusing on the strategic choices of major players like Alibaba, ByteDance, and Tencent, and suggests a new normal of "dynamic alternation" in the US-China AI competition [1][2] Group 1: Alibaba's Strategy - Alibaba is adopting a "full-stack" approach similar to Google's, with a significant increase in capital expenditure, which surged by 80% year-on-year to reach 32 billion RMB in the September quarter [3][4] - The company's cloud revenue grew by 29% year-on-year, with AI-related revenue achieving triple-digit growth for the ninth consecutive quarter, and is expected to accelerate to 38% growth in the December quarter [4][6] Group 2: ByteDance's Approach - ByteDance is leveraging its massive traffic advantage, with a daily token consumption of 30 trillion, approaching Google's 43 trillion, and significantly surpassing competitors like Baidu [9][13] - The company's application "Doubao" leads in domestic AI application activity, while its overseas education app Gauth saw a 394% year-on-year increase in monthly revenue [9][13] Group 3: Tencent's Strategy - Tencent is maintaining a conservative approach, reducing capital expenditure while focusing on seamlessly integrating AI capabilities into its extensive social and payment ecosystem [14][15] - The company has integrated its AI assistant "Yuanbao" into WeChat Pay, enhancing operational efficiency for small and medium-sized businesses [15] Group 4: US-China AI Competition - The report outlines a "dynamic catch-up" cycle in the US-China AI competition, where Chinese models typically follow significant advancements in US models within 3-6 months [16][17] - Chinese companies are noted for their resilience and aggressive cost control, with many leveraging open-source models to enhance their capabilities [17] Group 5: Valuation Insights - Goldman Sachs indicates that the current state of the Chinese AI sector does not reflect a bubble, with projected P/E ratios for Tencent and Alibaba at 21x and 23x respectively, lower than those of major US tech companies [18]