经济前瞻论坛2025丨吴玉韶：六大“转变”绘制“十五五”养老服务新蓝图

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" for elderly care services in China has achieved significant breakthroughs, and the "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to be a critical period for the development of a mature elderly care system by 2035 [2]. Group 1: Development Progress - Since the initiation of the elderly care service industry in 2013, it has evolved from non-existence to a substantial and qualitative leap through the "12th," "13th," and "14th Five-Year Plans" [2]. - The 20th Central Committee has outlined the objectives for the "15th Five-Year Plan," marking it as the fastest period of aging development in China [2]. Group 2: Six Transformations in Elderly Care Services - Transition from focusing on key groups to ensuring basic services for all, with the goal of universal access to basic elderly care services by 2023 [3]. - Shift from supply-side policies to demand-side support, including subsidies for moderately disabled elderly individuals and long-term care insurance [3]. - Move from merely providing care to enabling active participation of the elderly in society, with policies encouraging their contributions to modernization [4]. - Change from a broad approach to a more precise and tailored service model, emphasizing the importance of assessment in elderly care [4]. - Progress from information technology to intelligent solutions in elderly care, integrating AI across all aspects of service [4]. - Evolution from traditional elderly care to a broader "silver economy," which is expected to become a stable and significant industry [4].