美国咨询专家:就算中国制造业原地踏步20年,等着美国追赶,美国也追不上中国的脚步
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-29 15:11

Core Viewpoint - The article argues that the United States cannot regain its manufacturing dominance over China, despite political efforts and subsidies, due to fundamental structural issues in the U.S. economy and manufacturing sector [1][2]. Group 1: Manufacturing Comparison - According to purchasing power parity (PPP), China's manufacturing output was $8.4 trillion last year, while the U.S. was only $2.6 trillion, indicating a threefold gap [6][7]. - To catch up with China, the U.S. would need to achieve a continuous 6% annual growth in manufacturing for 20 years, which is deemed unrealistic for a developed economy like the U.S. [8][10]. Group 2: Economic Strategy - The U.S. has focused on quick profits through finance, IP licensing, and software, leading to a hollowing out of its manufacturing base [11][12]. - In contrast, China's manufacturing ecosystem allows for rapid production and supply chain efficiency, exemplified by the ability to source components quickly within a short radius [14]. Group 3: Policy Challenges - The U.S. is experiencing "policy schizophrenia," with inconsistent manufacturing policies that deter long-term investments [15][16]. - In contrast, China has maintained a consistent strategic direction over decades, which has strengthened its manufacturing capabilities [19]. Group 4: Conclusion - The article concludes that the U.S. is not losing its manufacturing jobs to China but is instead undermining its own industrial base through misguided priorities [20][22].