历史新高！私募基金规模首破22万亿元

Core Insights - The latest report from the China Securities Investment Fund Industry Association indicates that the private fund industry has reached a record high of 22.05 trillion yuan as of October, surpassing the previous peak of 20.81 trillion yuan at the end of September 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Private Fund Growth - The significant growth in private fund size is highlighted by the outstanding performance of private securities investment funds, which reached a scale of 7.01 trillion yuan, marking the first time this category has exceeded 7 trillion yuan. In October, the new registration scale for these funds was 429.20 billion yuan, accounting for over 60% of all new registered funds [3]. - Other types of funds also experienced growth, with private equity funds reaching 11.18 trillion yuan and venture capital funds at 3.56 trillion yuan. The new registration scales for these funds in October were 126.74 billion yuan and 114.16 billion yuan, respectively, contributing to the overall increase in private fund size [3]. Group 2: Stock Fund Positioning - As of November 14, 2025, the stock private fund position index reached 81.13%, a significant increase of 1.05 percentage points from the previous week, marking a new high for the year and the highest level in nearly 112 weeks. The increase is driven by a rise in the willingness of medium-position private funds to increase their holdings [4]. - The proportion of fully invested stock private funds has risen to 65.90%, while medium-position funds have decreased to 18.97%. Low-position and empty-position funds account for 10.37% and 4.76%, respectively, indicating a shift towards higher investment levels among medium-position funds [4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The increase in private fund positions is attributed to three main factors: the sustained upward trend in the A-share market since August, positive signals from policy regarding the long-term health of the capital market, and the willingness of large private funds to concentrate their investments in sectors like technology and innovative pharmaceuticals to capture structural opportunities [5]. - Market expectations for a long-term bull market in A-shares are growing, with a shift in market pricing logic from valuation-driven to fundamental-driven approaches. This reflects a return to fundamental investment styles, focusing on opportunities arising from global technological trends and the international expansion of Chinese enterprises [6]. - Despite some recovery in valuations for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, there is no systemic bubble, and while the capital market may face periodic disturbances, a systemic downturn is unlikely. The focus will shift to individual stock performance, particularly in sectors with structural growth potential [7].