罕见大逆袭！全球牛市排行榜竟被欧洲霸屏

Core Insights - The European stock markets are experiencing a remarkable turnaround, outperforming expectations and dominating global rankings as of 2025, with significant gains in countries like Hungary, Slovenia, and the Czech Republic, all exceeding 60% in USD terms [1][2] - Investor confidence has notably returned to Europe, as evidenced by a shift in capital flows, with investors now net buyers of European stocks while slightly reducing their holdings in U.S. equities [1][2] - The Stoxx 600 Index is poised to achieve its largest advantage over the S&P 500 since 2006, reflecting a significant change in market dynamics [1] Market Performance - European indices have significantly outperformed expectations this year, with Hungary, Slovenia, and the Czech Republic leading with over 60% gains in USD [2] - Germany's stock index has risen 20% in EUR and 34% in USD, while the S&P 500 ranks 63rd among 92 global indices tracked by Bloomberg [2][3] - Investor sentiment has shifted positively towards Europe, with expectations for continued outperformance in the coming year [2] Economic Factors - The strengthening euro, which has appreciated by 12% against the dollar this year, is a key driver of the European market's performance [3] - Germany's commitment to significant investments in defense and infrastructure, including a €2.9 billion military procurement contract, is expected to boost the economy [3] Inflation and Monetary Policy - European inflation has returned to target levels, allowing the European Central Bank to potentially lower interest rates faster than the Federal Reserve [3] - The decline of the dollar amid concerns over U.S. trade policies has further enhanced Europe's attractiveness to investors [3] Sector Performance - The banking sector leads the rebound in European stocks, with a 67% increase driven by strong earnings, rising M&A activity, and stable interest rate outlooks [4] - Defense stocks have surged due to anticipated increases in military spending, while renewable energy stocks benefit from strong demand for AI infrastructure [4] - The luxury goods sector, particularly LVMH, is showing signs of recovery after previous downturns, indicating a rebound in consumer demand [4] Future Outlook - Analysts expect European corporate earnings to grow by 11% next year, narrowing the gap with U.S. earnings growth projections of 13% for 2026 [5] - Despite the recent surge, European stocks remain relatively undervalued, with a 35% discount compared to the S&P 500 based on expected price-to-earnings ratios [5] - Even with minimal earnings growth, the market could reach new highs, indicating continued investment potential [5]