重要会议临近，市场高预期能兑现吗？

Group 1 - The market is anticipating significant policy announcements from the upcoming Political Bureau meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference, which are expected to set directions and tasks for the economy, but will not reveal the GDP target for next year until March [3][4] - There is a discrepancy in expectations as the market hopes for strong stimulus measures, but recent macroeconomic data has been weak, with the November manufacturing PMI only slightly increasing by 0.2 and remaining below 50, indicating overall contraction [4] - The service sector's business activity index saw a significant decline of 0.6, also remaining in the contraction zone, highlighting the need for potential stimulus [4] Group 2 - Recent credit data from mid-November indicates weak financing demand in the real economy, further supporting the need for policy intervention [5]