国金证券:首予锅圈(02517)“买入”评级 在家吃饭餐食龙头重启增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-01 02:44

Core Viewpoint - Guoquan is recognized as a leading brand in China's at-home meal market, leveraging an efficient supply chain, continuous product innovation, an extensive channel network covering over 10,000 stores, and a strong brand image to demonstrate robust competitiveness in an increasingly concentrated industry [1][2]. Company Overview - Guoquan offers a one-stop solution for at-home meal products, providing ready-to-eat, ready-to-heat, ready-to-cook, and ingredient delivery services to meet diverse consumer dining scenarios [2]. - The company has established a wide community store network and possesses strong digital supply chain capabilities, aiming to deliver "variety, speed, quality, and cost-effectiveness" in its meal products [2]. Industry Insights - The at-home meal market in China is experiencing steady growth, with market concentration expected to increase. In 2022, the market size reached 367.3 billion yuan, projected to grow to 940 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 20.7% from 2022 to 2027 [3]. - The market concentration is relatively low, with the top five players holding only about 11.1% of the market share in 2022. Guoquan ranked first among all retailers in China with a market share of 3.0% [3]. Competitive Advantages - The company benefits from a strong supply chain, continuous product innovation, an extensive channel network, and deep brand recognition. 1. Supply Chain: The company has established seven self-owned factories, efficiently integrating production and logistics [4]. 2. Product Innovation: Guoquan has introduced a significant number of new SKUs annually, enhancing its product matrix to adapt to changing consumer preferences [4]. 3. Channel Expansion: The company has achieved a store count of 10,761 as of Q3 2025, supported by a multi-store model and a mature franchise system [4]. 4. Brand Development: Continuous investment in brand building has established Guoquan as a national hot pot brand, with prepaid card value reaching 590 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.2% [4]. Growth Potential - The community central kitchen strategy is focused on penetrating lower-tier markets, which present significant growth opportunities. The company aims to enhance efficiency compared to traditional local stores, driving growth through an expanded product matrix and diverse store formats [5].