Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-01 03:00Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector is experiencing a significant rally, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, with market pricing reflecting over 86% probability of a rate decrease [1][2]. Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - The precious metals sector saw a collective surge, with the non-ferrous metal ETF (159871) rising by 2.77% and silver reaching its daily limit up of 10% [1]. - COMEX gold increased by 4.77% and COMEX silver surged by 14.95% over the past week, indicating strong upward momentum in precious metal prices [2]. Group 2: Market Influences - The Federal Reserve has entered a quiet period before its meeting, with no significant macroeconomic data expected to alter the anticipated policy path, leading to a consensus that the December rate cut decision is "locked in" [1]. - Economic data releases have prompted some Federal Reserve officials to signal a potential rate cut in December, supporting the rebound in precious metal prices [1]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The long-term trend for the non-ferrous metals sector remains positive, with recommendations to focus on the non-ferrous metal ETF (159871) for structural opportunities [3]. - The ongoing process of de-dollarization is expected to continue, suggesting that investors should hold onto low-positioned assets despite market volatility [2].