3 6 Ke·2025-12-01 04:08Core Insights - Baillie Gifford, a century-old asset management company, emphasizes a long-term investment philosophy that focuses on tracking technological transformations to identify investment opportunities for the next decade [1][2] Investment Philosophy - The company believes that while new technologies may appear suddenly, they actually have long gestation periods, and continuous observation can reveal future trends today [2] - Baillie Gifford's research agenda, released annually, covers industry themes, technological frontiers, and important economic and governance topics, showcasing a forward-looking and sustainable investment approach [2] Research Agenda Evolution - The evolution of Baillie Gifford's research agenda from 2015 to 2024 highlights its proactive positioning to capture extraordinary returns from technological changes [2] - Key themes from 2015 to 2024 include advancements in technology, energy transition, digital economy, artificial intelligence, and opportunities in China [3][4][5][14] Energy Transition - Baillie Gifford identifies the transition to renewable energy as a necessary trend to mitigate climate change, leading to significant capital cycles and infrastructure upgrades [5] - The company anticipates that capital scarcity and resource competition will favor companies with excellent capital allocation capabilities [5] Digital Economy - The digital economy has been a focal point for investors, with Baillie Gifford investing in major players like Amazon since 2004 [7] - The firm observes a "winner-takes-all" dynamic in technology platform companies, where a few innovative firms dominate and create new growth opportunities [7][8] Artificial Intelligence - Artificial intelligence has rapidly evolved into a standalone research theme for Baillie Gifford, with a focus on its transformative potential for society and the economy [9] - The company invests in key players in the AI supply chain, including Nvidia, ASML, and TSMC, which hold monopolistic positions in their respective fields [9] Transportation Revolution - The transportation sector is a significant area of focus, with Baillie Gifford investing in electric vehicle companies like Tesla and BYD, as well as battery manufacturers [11] - The firm highlights four disruptive forces in the future transportation ecosystem: shared mobility, urban air travel, electrification, and autonomous driving [11] Opportunities in China - China is a critical market for Baillie Gifford, with over 100 holdings in various sectors, including internet, new energy, and advanced manufacturing [14] - The company emphasizes the importance of long-term investment principles in China, recognizing its unique economic development model and innovation capabilities [15][16][17] Conclusion - Baillie Gifford believes that technological change and disruption are key drivers of significant investment opportunities, particularly in renewable energy and artificial intelligence [18] - The firm asserts that the next decade will see growth frontiers based on data and AI, with a shift from a two-dimensional to a three-dimensional internet landscape [18]