黄金股票ETF（517400）涨超2.8%，市场关注降息预期与金属价格共振

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the "rate cut trade" will provide strong momentum for gold prices in the medium term, with expectations that changes in U.S. monetary policy will support gold prices alongside fiscal policy [1] Group 1: Medium to Long-Term Outlook - The combination of "rate cut trade" and "Trump 2.0" is expected to catalyze gold prices until 2025, with central bank gold accumulation providing strong bottom support due to the backdrop of protectionism and great power competition [1] - Global gold demand is projected to reach a historical high in 2024, with central banks continuing to lead gold demand in 2025, serving as a crucial pillar for gold prices [1] Group 2: Central Bank Actions - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 12 consecutive months, reaching 74.09 million ounces by the end of October [1] - The resilience of the U.S. labor market and economic performance may extend the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle, creating a larger policy space that increases the window for bullish gold positions [1] Group 3: Investment Strategies - In the medium to long term, gold prices are expected to trend upward, and investors may consider participating in subsequent pullbacks and gradually accumulating positions [1] - Direct investment in physical gold and tax-exempt gold ETFs (518800) as well as gold stock ETFs covering the entire gold industry chain (517400) are recommended [1]