国盛证券:维持申洲国际“买入”评级 坚定长期主义 龙头优势凸显
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-01 06:16

Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Shenzhou International, highlighting its solid fundamentals and potential for revenue growth driven by the recovery of core customer orders, with expectations for the company to enter a phase of supply-demand imbalance and healthy revenue growth by 2026 [1] Group 1: Customer Trends - Recent improvements in core customer trends are expected to drive a CAGR of over 10% for the company's revenue from 2025 to 2026 [1] - Nike's operational situation has improved, with North American inventory returning to normal, leading to a positive outlook for order recovery by 2026 [1] - Fast Retailing (Uniqlo) projects a 10.3% revenue growth for FY2026, while Adidas continues to show strong performance across regions [1] - PUMA is currently in a period of adjustment, with stable short-term orders anticipated, while other customers are expected to see healthy growth in order volume [1] Group 2: Product Categories - The leisure category is projected to grow rapidly in 2025, with expectations for increased order growth in the sports category in 2026 due to events like the Winter Olympics and World Cup [1] - The proportion of leisure products is expected to decrease compared to 2025 [1] Group 3: Long-term Asset Investment - The company has consistently invested in long-term asset construction, leading to a unique integrated supply chain and potential market share growth [2] - By the end of 2024, the company is expected to have 103,000 employees, a 12% year-on-year increase, with further growth anticipated in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company is expanding overseas production capacity, with Vietnam and Cambodia accounting for over 50% of garment production capacity, and plans to enter the Indonesian market [2] Group 4: Industry Growth Potential - The demand for functional apparel is strong, with the company positioned to benefit from the growth of the sports category [2] - The company’s core customers include leading sports brands, and it is expected to capitalize on the increasing penetration rates in both global and Chinese markets [2] - The company aims to enhance its competitive advantage through superior fabric development capabilities and collaborative product creation with clients [2]