Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll report, originally scheduled for release this Friday, has been postponed to December 16 due to the government shutdown, complicating predictions for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on December 11 [3] - The upcoming ADP data for November, set to be released on Wednesday, is seen as a critical indicator in the absence of the non-farm payroll data, with a previous value of 42,000 and a pessimistic forecast of 20,000 [4] - The Eurozone's harmonized CPI year-on-year for November is expected to rise slightly to 2.2%, while the core CPI is projected to increase to 2.5%, indicating a stable inflation outlook above 2% [6][8] Group 2 - The labor market in the U.S. faces significant challenges, including the impact of immigration policies and AI replacing basic jobs, which could hinder recovery in the short term [4] - The stability of Eurozone inflation data supports expectations that the European Central Bank will maintain interest rates, with the next decision on December 18 anticipated to be unchanged [8] - The potential for a higher likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve could lead to an appreciation of the Euro against the Dollar [8]
ATFX汇市前瞻:本周五非农延期至16日,11月小非农ADP引关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-01 09:41