AvaTrade爱华每日市场报告 2025年12月1日

Core Viewpoint - Global markets closed the week with cautious optimism, supported by expectations of potential easing from the Federal Reserve, despite rising bond yields and a stronger yen from the Bank of Japan's policy shift, indicating complex challenges ahead [1][5][9]. US Market Performance - Major US indices rose for the fifth consecutive day, with the S&P 500 up 0.54% to $6,849.09, the Dow Jones up 0.61% to $47,716.42, and the Nasdaq 100 up 0.78% to $25,434.89 [3]. - The rebound is characterized as tentative, driven by growing optimism regarding a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, although market uncertainty was heightened by a technical failure at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange [3][8]. Global Market Trends - European markets showed slight gains, with the Stoxx 50 index benefiting from financial stocks and individual stock acquisitions, marking a positive end to a volatile November [5]. - Asian markets experienced a recovery, with many indices closing more firmly as investor sentiment improved regarding the Fed's potential rate cuts [5][8]. Key Stock Movements - Intel (INTC) surged by 10.2% amid speculation of becoming a supplier for Apple's processors [6]. - Moderna (MRNA) rose by 3.88% following strong Q3 earnings and cost-cutting measures, boosting confidence in its 2025 profit outlook [6]. - Western Digital (WDC) increased by 3.54% due to optimism over AI-driven storage demand and strong performance [6]. Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - The market is balancing between "policy hopes" and "real pressures," with Fed dovish signals temporarily boosting risk assets, while uncertainties in Japanese monetary policy and global yield pressures pose risks [9][10]. - The VIX index decreased by 4.99% to 16.35, indicating a slight easing in volatility, although it remains above long-term lows [6][10]. - The dollar index faces pressure due to rising rate cut expectations and declining US yields, while gold prices increased amid lower real yields and a weaker dollar [10].