Core Insights - The Bank of Japan is signaling a potential resumption of interest rate hikes, with market expectations leaning towards a rate increase to 0.75% at the upcoming December meeting [5][6] - The yen has strengthened against the U.S. dollar, and Japanese government bond yields have risen to their highest levels since 2008, raising concerns about the unwinding of yen carry trades [7] Bank of Japan's Policy Outlook - Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that the BOJ will evaluate the pros and cons of raising the policy interest rate due to improving economic conditions and prices [6] - The last interest rate hike occurred in January, raising the rate to 0.5%, the highest level in 17 years [6] Market Reactions - The yen appreciated by 0.5% to 155.4 per U.S. dollar, while the 2-year and 10-year bond yields have reached their highest levels since 2008 [7] - Concerns are growing that rising Japanese bond yields could lead to a repatriation of capital from overseas investments, particularly U.S. Treasuries [7] Investment Implications - The potential for rising yields is viewed as a significant threat to global markets, with implications for the equity bull market [7] - Investors are closely monitoring the situation as the BOJ's policy decisions could impact risk assets and carry trades [5][7]
Japan Rate Hike In The Cards