18年量化老手揭秘：机构震仓洗盘真相

Group 1 - The global market is experiencing a stark contrast, with Japanese and Korean stock markets showing significant volatility, exemplified by the Nikkei 225 index initially rising but then dropping over 1%, and the Korean Composite Index flipping from a 1.2% gain to a loss [1][3] - Cryptocurrency markets are also showing divergence, with Bitcoin falling below $87,000 and Ethereum dropping below $2,900, while gold prices are rising, reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis when gold served as a safe haven during risk asset declines [3][5] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly related to comments from former President Trump regarding Venezuela, are contributing to market uncertainty, highlighting the market's aversion to unpredictability [3][5] Group 2 - Many investors struggle to hold onto stocks during a bull market, often attributing their inability to external factors, but the real issue lies in not understanding the intentions of institutional investors [5][6] - Institutional investors are likened to skilled players in a card game, whose actions significantly influence stock price movements, making it crucial for retail investors to discern their strategies [5][6] - The advancement of computer technology and quantitative data analysis provides tools for retail investors to decode institutional behavior, potentially allowing them to make more informed investment decisions [6][12] Group 3 - Key quantitative data indicators include "dominant momentum," which reflects various trading behaviors, and "institutional inventory," which shows the activity level of large funds [11][12] - Recognizing signals of institutional activity, such as a combination of "recovery" behavior and active "inventory," can indicate opportunities for retail investors to capitalize on market fluctuations [12][16] - The current market movements, including the fluctuations in Japanese and Korean stocks and the contrasting trends in cryptocurrencies and gold, suggest that large funds are reallocating their asset portfolios [18]