银轮股份(002126):汽车热管理龙头 拓展算力、机器人新成长曲线

Core Viewpoint - The company, a leader in automotive thermal management, is expanding into new growth areas such as data centers and robotics, showing strong revenue and profit growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% in revenue and 43% in net profit from 2022 to 2024 [1] Group 1: Business Expansion and Growth - The company has diversified its business into four growth curves: commercial vehicle off-road, new energy thermal management, digital and energy thermal management, and artificial intelligence and robotics [1] - The passenger vehicle segment is leading the growth, while the digital energy business is rapidly expanding, and the commercial vehicle and off-road segments are providing stable contributions [1] - The company has achieved a historical high in overseas revenue, which accounted for 24% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, with significant improvements in profitability from international operations [1] Group 2: Digital Energy and AI Cooling - The demand for liquid cooling in data centers is expected to accelerate, driven by high capital expenditures in the domestic internet sector and AI applications [2] - The company has secured 301 orders for data center liquid cooling systems, with a total capacity of 500 MW, indicating a strong market presence [2] - The digital and energy segment is projected to contribute an additional annual sales revenue of 637 million yuan after mass production [2] Group 3: Acquisition and Strategic Moves - The company plans to acquire a controlling stake in Deep Blue Co., focusing on energy storage temperature control and HVAC systems, which will enhance its capabilities in data center liquid cooling and energy storage [3] - The automotive sector is transitioning towards electrification and intelligence, increasing the thermal management value per vehicle, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China expected to reach 56% in 2025 [3] Group 4: Market Position and R&D - The company has established a comprehensive product layout, including battery thermal management systems and various components, with over 1,000 effective patents and a research and development expense ratio of over 4% [4] - The company has entered the supply chains of numerous leading domestic and international clients, including major automotive manufacturers [4] - The humanoid robotics market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the company positioning itself to leverage synergies between robotics and automotive clients [4][5] Group 5: Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 15.211 billion yuan, 17.952 billion yuan, and 20.978 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 19.8%, 18.0%, and 16.9% respectively [6] - The projected net profits for the same period are 973 million yuan, 1.255 billion yuan, and 1.577 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 24.2%, 29.0%, and 25.7% respectively [6]