以“知”入道 以“不知”得道

Core Insights - The article highlights the transformation of Bao Zhenxiang from a futures broker to an asset manager over 15 years, emphasizing his success in the national futures competition through arbitrage strategies [1] - Bao Zhenxiang discusses the importance of balancing past, present, and future trading strategies to achieve cross-cycle profitability, particularly in the context of a volatile macroeconomic environment [1][2] - The article underscores the significance of thorough research and diversified investment strategies to manage risks effectively in trading [2] Group 1 - Bao Zhenxiang achieved the ninth place in the asset management product group at the national futures competition using arbitrage strategies [1] - The current market environment is not conducive to traditional arbitrage logic, necessitating a focus on fundamental and macro trading strategies [1][2] - Successful trading requires a deep understanding of various futures contracts, particularly in industrial and agricultural products, to capture market opportunities [1] Group 2 - Each trading strategy must consider the time value and safety margin of the asset, with strong fundamentals leading to positive arbitrage and weak fundamentals leading to negative arbitrage [2] - Bao Zhenxiang emphasizes the importance of a "mistake book" for traders to learn from past errors and achieve a deeper understanding of trading dynamics [2] - Maintaining physical health and mental clarity is crucial for traders to perform effectively in the market [3] Group 3 - The article advises ordinary investors to avoid blind following and unrealistic expectations of quick wealth, focusing instead on strategy and risk management [3]