Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry, known for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has turned his attention to Tesla, claiming its market value is "absurdly overvalued" and has been for a considerable time [2] Group 1: Valuation Concerns - Burry questions Tesla's valuation and suggests that the proposed $1 trillion compensation plan by Elon Musk would dilute existing shareholder equity and weaken earnings per share [2] - Tesla's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio exceeds 250, significantly higher than other major tech companies, with Apple at approximately 30, Amazon at about 50, and Microsoft at around 35 [3] - Jim Chanos, another prominent short-seller, has previously stated that Tesla's high market value is disconnected from its actual revenue and profit levels, indicating overly optimistic market expectations regarding its future business [3] Group 2: Market Share and Competition - Tesla's market share in the U.S. electric vehicle market has declined from over 50% in 2022 to 41% in 2025, facing increasing competition from traditional automakers and Chinese brands [4] - In Europe, Tesla's new car registrations fell by 48% year-on-year in October, while Chinese brand BYD saw a 195% increase in new car registrations during the same period [4] Group 3: Strategic Shifts and Future Plans - Tesla has shifted its business focus multiple times, from electric vehicle manufacturing to autonomous driving technology, and now to humanoid robot development, but has struggled to maintain a solid competitive edge [2] - Elon Musk emphasizes that Tesla is not just a car manufacturer but also an AI company, with significant potential in its humanoid robot project, Optimus, and plans to expand its Robotaxi fleet [4] - Tesla is preparing to expand its Texas Gigafactory to support the mass production of the Optimus robot, aiming for an annual production capacity of 10 million units, although these initiatives lack a clear commercialization timeline [4]
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