贵州茅台(600519)：积极、科学、理性 筑牢质量根基

Core Viewpoint - The company held an extraordinary shareholders' meeting to communicate its operational status and the "15th Five-Year Plan," indicating a steady momentum for Moutai liquor and improvements in sales and inventory ratios [1] Investment Highlights - The investment recommendation remains at "Buy," with EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 71.95 CNY, 75.57 CNY, and 79.63 CNY respectively. The target price is maintained at 2040 CNY, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 27X for 2026. The proposed interim dividend for 2025 is 30 billion CNY, leading to an estimated current dividend yield of about 3.6% [2] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is characterized by principles of "proactive, scientific, and rational" planning, avoiding a purely metric-driven approach. The company aims for sustainable growth during this period, promising good shareholder returns from both growth and dividends [2] Quality and Innovation - Quality is emphasized as a foundational aspect, with the company adhering to the principle of prioritizing quality over quantity, cost, efficiency, and speed. Production capacity will be determined by ecological sustainability and skilled labor development, while sales volume will depend on market capacity [3] - The company is advancing its digital traceability system, expected to show significant improvements by 2026, enhancing consumer rights protection [3] Youth and Internationalization - The younger demographic and international markets are identified as potential growth drivers. The company plans to address the diverse drinking preferences of different age groups through innovative strategies to overcome barriers related to taste, culture, and pricing [3] - The internationalization strategy remains a "three-step" approach, with adjustments to product strategies based on practical experiences. The company aims to gradually penetrate international markets with suitable products and packaging [3]