华尔街机构警告：做空美股是“高危操作”！

Group 1 - 22V Research indicates that shorting U.S. stocks is risky due to strong economic performance and ongoing enthusiasm for AI, which may support productivity and higher corporate profits [1] - The S&P 500 index has experienced a decline of up to 5.1% from its historical high in October, but rebounded recently, highlighting the dangers of shorting in a volatile market [1] - Consumer spending is increasing, with Mastercard SpendingPulse reporting a 4.1% year-over-year growth in Black Friday spending, indicating strong consumer resilience despite economic concerns [3] Group 2 - S3 Partners reported that short sellers in U.S. stocks faced a loss of $80 billion in market value in the last week of November, erasing nearly $95 billion in monthly profits accumulated prior [3] - Despite increased volatility, fundamentals remain strong, with Strategas Asset Management projecting a 12.5% growth in corporate profits over the next 12 months [3] - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in the upcoming policy meeting, which is expected to stimulate economic activity [3] Group 3 - The S&P 500 index fell by 0.5% on Monday after a 3.7% increase in the previous week, indicating a strong buying response from investors during downturns [4] - Shorting stocks is becoming increasingly difficult as market weakness continues to trigger buying reactions, with November showing a significant turnaround from poor performance to a strong month [4] - The upcoming seasonal rally in U.S. stocks is supported by historical data showing an average increase of 1.4% in December, with a 73% chance of positive returns [4]