Can Altria Sustain EPS Gains as Revenues Decrease 1.7% Y/Y?

Core Insights - Altria Group, Inc. achieved a 3.6% growth in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to $1.45 in Q3 2025, despite a 1.7% year-over-year decline in revenues to $5.25 billion, indicating resilience in earnings amid revenue challenges [1][8] Financial Performance - The adjusted operating companies income in the smokeable segment increased by 0.7%, driven by pricing gains and lower per-unit settlement charges, even as domestic cigarette shipment volumes fell over 8% [2] - Adjusted operating margins in smokeables expanded by 130 basis points to 64.4%, which helped mitigate the impact of lower shipment volumes [2] - The oral tobacco segment also saw adjusted margins improve by 240 basis points to 69.2%, despite a 4.3% decline in segment revenues [2] Share Repurchase Impact - Share repurchases significantly contributed to EPS growth, with the company buying back 1.9 million shares in the quarter and retiring a total of 12.3 million shares over the first nine months of the year [3][4] Comparison with Peers - In contrast, Philip Morris International Inc. reported a 17.3% year-over-year growth in adjusted EPS, supported by a 9.4% increase in net revenues, benefiting from strong pricing and rising volumes in smoke-free products [5] - Turning Point Brands, Inc. experienced a 31.2% growth in consolidated net sales and an 18.3% increase in net income, reflecting strong momentum in modern oral products [6] Valuation Metrics - Altria's shares have increased by 4.4% over the past month, while the industry average growth was 8.6% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.65X, which is lower than the industry average of 14.52X [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Altria's 2025 EPS has increased by 1 cent to $5.44, while the estimate for 2026 has decreased by 1 cent to $5.56 [10]