Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in the gold market has been exacerbated by economist Hong Hao's claim of selling gold at $4,500 per ounce, a price that has not been reached in mainstream market data, raising questions about the validity of his statement [1][4][17] Group 1: Market Reactions and Controversies - Hong Hao, known for his bullish stance on gold, warned of a bubble and claimed to have sold at a price that the market has not officially recorded, leading to skepticism among investors [3][4] - Following his announcement, many investors pointed out that the highest recorded price for gold was below $4,400, prompting inquiries into the source of Hong's figure [4][11] - Despite the controversy, Hong's commercial ventures, particularly his knowledge-sharing platform, have been financially successful, generating nearly 9.9 million yuan in just over a month [13][17] Group 2: Analysis of Trading Data - Investigations into COMEX gold futures revealed that non-mainstream contracts did reach prices above $4,500, which could support Hong's claims, although these contracts had low trading volumes [8][9] - The main contract for gold futures, which is more relevant for large-scale trading, peaked at $4,433, indicating that Hong's reported price may not reflect typical trading conditions [11][12] - Experts suggest that Hong's statement might be a rhetorical exaggeration rather than a precise trading figure, highlighting a potential disconnect between his public persona and actual trading practices [11][17]
投资圈“炸锅”,知名经济学家洪灏:已在4500美元高位清仓黄金,泡沫必破,其知识付费产品定价899元/年,成员已破万
3 6 Ke·2025-12-03 00:27