Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-03 00:41Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that coal prices have risen unexpectedly post-October, driven by supply constraints and increased demand from downstream power plants [1] - Supply concerns are exacerbated by factors such as rainfall in production areas and maintenance on the Daqin railway, leading to a decrease in imported coal due to political factors in Mongolia [1] - The EIA predicts that U.S. coal consumption will reach 439 million tons by 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, with coal inventories at U.S. power plants expected to decline to 107 million short tons by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - Zhongtai Securities suggests that coal may enter a new cycle, with investment opportunities in the coal sector expected to emerge by 2026, focusing on high dividend and low valuation stocks [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with growth potential and significant profit elasticity, recommending attention to those benefiting from the coal price bottoming out and improving profitability [2] - Key coal-related companies in the Hong Kong stock market include China Coal Energy, Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Shenhua Energy, Yancoal Australia, and China Qinfa [3]