特朗普预告明年初揭晓美联储“新掌门” 积极暗示哈塞特为意中人

Core Viewpoint - President Trump is expected to announce his choice for the next Federal Reserve Chair to succeed Powell early next year, continuing a months-long selection process [1] Group 1: Selection Process - Trump has narrowed down his list to one candidate, who he describes as a respected individual, but has not disclosed the name [1] - Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, who is leading the selection process, has interviewed several candidates, including current Fed governors and former officials [3] - Potential candidates include Kevin Hassett, who is favored for his advocacy of low interest rates, aligning with Trump's preference [3] Group 2: Economic Context - The new Fed leader will face a strong economy with persistent inflation, which may challenge the implementation of looser monetary policies [3][4] - Economists predict that only one rate cut may occur next year, contingent on the Fed's December meeting, with inflation remaining above the target [4] - The Fed's inflation target is set at 2%, while current inflation is projected to remain around 3% [4] Group 3: Policy Implications - The selection of a new Fed Chair could test their independence, especially if they are pressured to maintain low interest rates [5] - The dynamics within the Fed's board, including members appointed by both Trump and Biden, may influence the new Chair's ability to enact policy changes [6] - There is significant resistance among regional Fed presidents to further rate cuts, with some already voting against recent reductions [6][7]