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Core Insights - The renewable energy green certificate market in China has experienced significant growth in both volume and price, achieving international breakthroughs in 2023 [1][7] - As of September 2023, the cumulative issuance of green certificates reached 7 billion, with a trading scale of 529 million certificates, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 110% [1][3] - The average trading price of green certificates in Q3 2023 was 5.06 yuan per certificate, a 210% increase from Q1 [1][3] Market Dynamics - The growth of the green certificate market is driven by multiple factors, including policy optimization and increased demand due to international recognition [3][4] - The implementation of a comprehensive green certificate policy and the launch of a national trading system in 2024 have contributed to a stable supply of green certificates [3][4] - Price differentiation exists among green certificates from different production years, with the average trading price for 2024 production year certificates at 2.56 yuan and for 2025 at 5.22 yuan [3] Demand Drivers - The demand for green certificates is significantly influenced by corporate commitments to green electricity goals, regulatory requirements for high-energy-consuming industries, and pressure from downstream customers [5][6] - Five key categories of enterprises drive the consumption of green certificates: multinational companies with carbon reduction commitments, domestic companies with green electricity goals, high-energy-consuming industries, upstream suppliers responding to customer demands, and export-oriented manufacturers [5][6] Challenges and Opportunities - Despite the growth in demand, the consumption potential of green certificates remains underutilized, with structural challenges in attracting more buyers [1][5] - The mandatory green electricity consumption policy impacts high-energy industries by increasing operational costs, while also promoting market competition and efficiency [6][7] - The international recognition of Chinese green certificates by RE100 marks a significant step towards global integration, although further improvements in traceability and certification processes are needed [7][8] Future Considerations - Companies are encouraged to align their green certificate deployment with their overall low-carbon development strategies and carbon asset management systems [10] - The transition of green certificates from a cost item to a value item requires careful consideration of economic viability and necessity, emphasizing the importance of green electricity procurement and investment [10]