高盛：铜价突破每吨1.1万美元“不可持续”，短缺时代尚未到来

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs expresses caution regarding the recent surge in copper prices, stating that the breakout above $11,000 per ton will likely be temporary due to ample metal supply to meet global demand [1] - The recent rise in copper prices is primarily driven by expectations of future market tightness rather than current fundamentals, with Goldman Sachs predicting that the current price level will not be sustained [1] - Concerns over copper being rushed to the U.S. before global tariffs have led to a tightening of global supply, pushing prices to a record high of $11,540 per ton on the London Metal Exchange [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs forecasts a demand shortfall of approximately 500,000 tons compared to supply this year, with a significant copper shortage not expected until 2029 [2] - The anticipated supply surplus in 2026 is projected to be much smaller at only 160,000 tons, indicating that the market is moving closer to balance and suggesting that a copper shortage is not imminent [2]