2026年资本市场将真正成为服务实体经济、推动产业升级的核心引擎

Core Insights - The global capital markets are expected to undergo structural changes by 2026, driven by domestic financial market developments, particularly in market capitalization management and mergers and acquisitions [1] Group 1: Market Capitalization Management - By 2026, market capitalization management will evolve from a passive compliance tool to a core strategy for companies to actively build long-term value [2] - The shift is influenced by a restructuring of traditional valuation systems and a deepening regulatory focus on enhancing the quality of listed companies, alongside a transition from retail to institutional investor dominance [2] - Companies will need to engage more deeply with media and develop personalized investor relations to effectively communicate their strategic value and align market demands with corporate strategies [2] Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - Mergers and acquisitions will transition from mere scale expansion to becoming a key method for companies to construct industrial ecosystems and achieve leapfrog development [3] - This shift is driven by ongoing policy incentives, urgent strategic upgrades, and opportunities arising from global supply chain restructuring due to geopolitical tensions [3] - The focus of M&A activities will increasingly target "hard technology" sectors such as semiconductors, computing power, and artificial intelligence, facilitating both scale expansion and the establishment of technological barriers [3] Group 3: Role of Local State-owned Enterprises - Local state-owned enterprises are expected to transition from being financial investors to becoming industrial organizers by 2026 [4] - This strategic shift involves acquiring control of listed companies to attract high-quality firms with core technologies or market channels, thereby enhancing regional economic resilience and competitiveness [4] - The new model of capital empowerment linked to industrial introduction will help local governments overcome traditional investment challenges, promoting a more integrated industrial ecosystem [4] Group 4: Specialized M&A Funds - Specialized M&A funds focusing on specific technology sectors or industrial chain segments are anticipated to emerge, facilitating resource integration and governance optimization [5] - These funds will create a pool of high-quality acquisition targets, driving the refined restructuring of industrial chains and enhancing the capital market's role in supporting the real economy and industrial upgrades [5]