Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-04 11:54Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that Huazhu Group and Atour have significantly outperformed Jinjiang Hotels and ShouLai Hotels this year, with respective increases of 41% and 59% compared to Jinjiang's 2% decline and ShouLai's 7% increase [1] - Morgan Stanley recommends investors to "overweight" Huazhu Group and Atour over a 12-month period due to their stronger brands and products, which provide clearer long-term growth prospects, while their valuations are comparable to or even cheaper than Jinjiang and ShouLai [1] - The self-discipline within the hotel industry has exceeded expectations, benefiting Huazhu and Atour, as indicated by Morgan Stanley's consumer forum insights [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley's tracking data shows that the expansion rate of Huazhu and Atour has been significantly faster than that of Jinjiang and ShouLai, highlighting a trend of industry consolidation that favors Huazhu and Atour [1] - In the past month, there has been a notable divergence in the performance of Chinese hotel stocks, with Huazhu Group and Jinjiang Hotels performing well, while Atour and ShouLai Hotels lagged behind the industry [2] - The report suggests that the stock price movements are not entirely supported by fundamentals, as Huazhu Group's average revenue per available room (RevPAR) for Q4 shows upward risk, indicating potential short-term price increases [2]