OppFi Rallies 33% YTD: Should You Still Purchase the Stock?

Core Insights - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) shares have increased by 32.5% year-to-date, outperforming its industry which declined by 11.6% and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite which grew by 19.8% [1][7] - The company has consistently raised its earnings guidance for 2025, indicating strong investor confidence in its profitability outlook [9][10] Performance Comparison - Over the past month, OPFI gained 2.2%, surpassing Cantaloupe's 0.2% and Fidelity National Information Services' 1.5% [4] - Year-to-date, OPFI has outperformed Cantaloupe's 11.2% rise and Fidelity National Information Services' 17.4% decline [1][4] Operational Efficiency - OPFI improved its auto approval rate to 79.1% in Q3 2025 from 76.8% in the previous year, contributing to a 500-basis-point decline in total expenses as a percentage of revenues [5] - The company experienced a 13.5% year-over-year increase in revenue, leading to a 136.9% increase in net income [5][7] - Model 6 also reduced net charge-offs as a percentage of total revenues by 430 basis points year-over-year [6] Financial Guidance - For 2025, OPFI expects adjusted net income to range from $106 million to $142 million across the first three quarters, with adjusted EPS projected between $1.18 and $1.60 [9][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OPFI's 2025 revenues is $598 million, reflecting a 13.6% year-over-year growth [15] Valuation Metrics - OPFI is currently priced at 5.99 times forward 12-month earnings per share, significantly below the industry average of 20.1 times [11] - The trailing 12-month EV-to-EBITDA ratio for OPFI is 5.03 times, compared to the industry average of 10.94 times, indicating undervaluation [11] Analyst Confidence - Over the past 60 days, EPS estimates for both 2025 and 2026 have been revised upward, with the 2025 earnings estimate rising by 10.6% [16] - This upward revision trend highlights strong analyst confidence in OPFI's financial performance [16] Investment Recommendation - Given the operational improvements, consistent earnings guidance increases, and undervaluation relative to the industry, OPFI is recommended as a strong buy for investors seeking long-term capital gains [17][18]