大唐环境(01272.HK):强运营 重研发 打造环境综合治理新标杆

Core Viewpoint - The company has established itself as a benchmark in environmental governance, focusing on various core businesses including environmental facility operation, denitration catalyst manufacturing, resource recycling, and new energy services [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company is backed by China Datang Group and has been deeply involved in environmental governance for over 20 years [1]. - As of mid-2025, the company’s cumulative installed capacity for desulfurization and denitration will reach 47.61 GW and 40.60 GW respectively [1]. - The company operates four water projects and has ten projects under construction, indicating steady progress in its water business [1]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The thermal power industry is balancing the dual goals of ensuring power supply safety and promoting low-carbon transition, with thermal power plants evolving to serve as peak-shaving power sources [2]. - The market for denitration catalysts is expanding, driven by new performance requirements for flexibility in thermal power units [2]. Group 3: CCUS Technology Development - CCUS technology is essential for achieving carbon neutrality in China, although it is still in the early stages of development with challenges such as low technological maturity and cost competitiveness [3]. - By the end of November 2024, over 120 CCUS demonstration projects are planned or operational, with a CO2 capture capacity of 600 million tons per year [3]. - A significant project led by Datang Environment Company, in collaboration with Tsinghua University, has been recognized as a major technological achievement in the energy sector [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 5.705 billion, 5.767 billion, and 5.866 billion respectively, with net profits of 569 million, 634 million, and 667 million [4]. - The company is assigned a target price of 1.48 HKD per share, with a valuation of 7 times earnings for 2025, resulting in a market capitalization of 4.4 billion HKD [4].