【UNFX财经事件】三大资产趋稳整理 市场进入PCE与会议前窗口期

Group 1 - Global asset trading is cautious, with the Dow Jones briefly hovering above 48,000 before a slight decline, and gold stabilizing around 4,200 USD amid mixed employment and yield signals [1] - The focus is on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision on December 10, with expectations for a potential third consecutive rate cut [1][2] - The cumulative number of layoffs this year has reached 1.17 million, indicating a significant cooling in the labor market, which is pushing the market towards rate cut expectations [1] Group 2 - Kevin Hassett's inclusion in the potential Federal Reserve chair list has heightened market attention, with his statement suggesting a "very likely" 25 basis point rate cut in December [2] - The probability of a rate cut next week has increased to the range of 87% to 90%, reflecting a consensus judgment in the market [2] - The market narrative is focused on the PCE data and the Federal Reserve meeting, with gold maintaining its position near key levels and the dollar remaining stable amid data fluctuations [3] Group 3 - The short-term impact of inflation data indicates that a strong PCE could lead to a drop in gold prices, while a weak reading would further support gold [4] - The market has already priced in the rate cut, and any deviation from expectations could trigger rapid pricing adjustments [4]