卓创资讯：本轮调价周期成品油零售限价下调与搁浅并存

Core Viewpoint - The international crude oil market has shown narrow fluctuations during the current pricing cycle, with a downward adjustment of 55 yuan per ton expected, slightly above the National Development and Reform Commission's threshold of 50 yuan per ton for fuel price adjustments [1] Group 1: Pricing Trends - The pricing window for domestic refined oil is expected to see both a downward adjustment and a potential freeze, with the adjustment window closing on December 8 at 24:00 [1] - As of December 4, the reference crude oil change rate was -1.26%, indicating a projected decrease of 55 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [1] Group 2: Market Influences - Geopolitical premiums continue to support crude oil prices, but seasonal demand weakness is dragging down the overall price trend [1] - The ongoing situation in Europe is causing market disturbances, while the U.S. is experiencing an increase in oil inventories, leading to a cautious market outlook [1] Group 3: Consumer Impact - The expected price reduction translates to a decrease of approximately 0.04 yuan per liter for gasoline and diesel, resulting in a savings of around 2 yuan for consumers filling a 50-liter tank of 92-octane gasoline [1]