卓创资讯:12月养殖端计划出栏量环比增加,猪价存下行压力

Group 1 - The planned slaughter volume in December for the breeding sector is expected to increase by 3.77% month-on-month, with the largest increase in Fujian Province at 14.50% and the largest decrease in Zhejiang Province at 36.09% [2][4] - The increase in slaughter volume is driven by the release of production capacity and the push from large breeding enterprises to meet annual sales targets, leading to a higher supply of pigs [4][5] - Despite the anticipated increase in demand for pigs in December due to seasonal factors, the overall supply is expected to exceed demand, putting downward pressure on pig prices [7] Group 2 - December is expected to see a significant increase in pig slaughter volume compared to November, influenced by seasonal demand and traditional consumption patterns [5] - However, due to demographic changes and rising living standards, the demand for traditional cured meats is decreasing, which may limit the expected increase in demand for pigs [5][7] - As of December 4, the average price of pigs has dropped to 11.18 yuan per kilogram, indicating a reversal of earlier price increases, with expectations of continued downward pressure on prices despite entering the consumption peak season [7]