Group 1 - International copper prices are rising, with Citibank predicting an average price of $13,000 per ton by Q2 2026, leading to a 1.2% increase to $11,581 per ton on December 5 [1] - The core driver for rising copper prices is a structural change in supply and demand dynamics, particularly due to U.S. market hoarding and potential import tariff policies, causing a supply shortage in other regions [2] - Analysts from Huatai Securities expect a shift from surplus to shortage in global copper supply and demand by 2026, with prices potentially exceeding $12,000 per ton due to strong demand and limited supply growth [3] Group 2 - Recent extreme weather, aging mine capacity, and geopolitical disturbances are expected to significantly impact global copper production, continuing into 2026 [3] - China's strategic reserve actions are anticipated to influence copper prices, with plans to increase reserves of key industrial metals amid energy transition demands and geopolitical tensions [4] - The rise in copper prices has positively affected global mining stocks, with companies like Antofagasta seeing significant stock price increases [4]
伦铜突破11581美元创新高 花旗预测2026年达1.3万美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-05 09:12