Market Overview - The US dollar index weakened throughout the week, with a notable drop in anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, closing at 98.95 [1] - Gold prices reached a six-week high due to a weak dollar and rate cut expectations, while silver approached a record high of $59, driven by supply shortages and industrial demand [1] - Non-US currencies, including the euro, pound, and Australian dollar, showed varying degrees of strength against the dollar, with the Australian dollar and pound performing particularly well [1] - Oil prices experienced volatility driven by geopolitical factors, with a significant rise due to pipeline damage and the situation in Venezuela, followed by a brief pullback before rebounding again [1] US Stock Market - The US stock market showed a generally strong performance, with the three major indices continuing a typical year-end upward trend, driven by investor confidence and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [2] Investment Bank Insights - Bank of America adjusted its Federal Reserve rate cut forecast, predicting a 25 basis point cut in December and two additional cuts by 2026 [5] - Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish long-term outlook on gold, forecasting prices to reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026 due to strong demand from central banks and investors [5] - Deutsche Bank warns that if the next Federal Reserve chair fails to effectively address inflation risks, the dollar may face downward pressure [5] Major Events - The potential nomination of Hassett as the next Federal Reserve chair raises concerns about aggressive rate cuts to appease Trump, with a high probability of a 25 basis point cut next week [6][7] - The Bank of Japan signaled a strong likelihood of raising interest rates for the first time since January, with expectations of an increase from 0.5% to 0.75% [8] - Global copper prices surged to historical highs, driven by supply constraints and strong demand, with LME inventories dropping significantly [9][10] Corporate Developments - The successful IPO of Moore Threads, China's first domestic GPU company, saw its stock price soar over 500% on its first day, reflecting strong market interest [16] - OpenAI is facing intense competition from Google and Anthropic, prompting a shift in focus to improve ChatGPT amid concerns over its market position [17] - Amazon launched its new AI chip, Trainium 3, to compete with Nvidia and Google, enhancing its capabilities in AI processing [19] - Tesla is under scrutiny from investors regarding its valuation and compensation plans, with concerns about shareholder dilution and strategic shifts in its business focus [20] Banking Sector Changes - Several banks have removed 5-year large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) from their mobile banking apps, reflecting a strategic response to the current economic environment and competitive pressures [21]
一周热榜精选:日本央行释放最强加息信号!铜市进入超级周期预演?
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-12-05 13:50