Steven Madden (SHOO) Up 12.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Core Insights - Steven Madden's Q3 2025 earnings report showed a decline in earnings and a mixed performance in revenues, with total revenues increasing but earnings per share (EPS) falling significantly [3][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted quarterly earnings were reported at 43 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 44 cents, and down 52.7% from 91 cents in the prior-year period [4]. - Total revenues rose 6.9% year over year to $667.9 million, but this figure missed the consensus estimate of $699 million [4]. - Adjusted gross profit increased by 11.6% year over year to $289.7 million, surpassing the estimate of $278.5 million, with an adjusted gross margin expanding 180 basis points to 43.4% [5]. - Adjusted operating income fell to $46.3 million, down 45.8% from the prior-year quarter, with an adjusted operating margin decreasing 680 basis points to 6.9% [6]. Segment Performance - Wholesale revenues totaled $442.7 million, a decline of 10.7% year over year, with a 19% decrease when excluding the recently acquired Kurt Geiger business [7]. - Direct-to-consumer revenues increased significantly by 76.6% year over year to $221.5 million, although this growth was only 1.5% when excluding Kurt Geiger [9]. Financial Health - As of the end of the quarter, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $108.7 million and stockholders' equity of $886.1 million [10]. - A cash dividend of 21 cents per share was announced, payable on December 26, 2025 [11]. Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, the company expects revenues to rise by 27% to 30% year over year, with EPS forecasted between 30 cents and 35 cents [13]. - The contribution from Kurt Geiger is anticipated to range between $182 million and $187 million in revenues for Q4, with a significant portion coming from direct-to-consumer operations [14]. Market Sentiment - Since the earnings release, there has been an upward trend in estimates, with the consensus estimate shifting by 66.67% [15]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating expectations for above-average returns in the coming months [17].