IDC：大陆IC设计市占2026年上看45%，超越台湾地区

Group 1 - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $889 billion by 2026, driven by AI advancements and companies like NVIDIA and AMD [1] - Chinese mainland IC design companies are expected to surpass Taiwan's market share by 2025, with projections indicating a market share of approximately 45% for mainland China and about 40% for Taiwan by 2026 [1] - The lack of self-developed AI chips is a key factor in Taiwan's declining market share, as most Taiwanese firms, except for MediaTek, have minimal AI chip revenue [1] Group 2 - The rapid expansion of China's IC design landscape is supported by semiconductor self-sufficiency policies and domestic market demand, with companies like Huawei's HiSilicon and Cambricon making significant technological advancements [2] - Despite competitive pressures, Taiwan's critical position in the global semiconductor supply chain remains unchanged, with TSMC's revenue growth rate projected to be between 22% and 26% by 2026, maintaining a market share of approximately 73% [2] - The advanced packaging sector is expected to see a significant increase in TSMC's CoWoS capacity by about 72% by 2026, but demand from AI giants will keep the market in a supply-demand imbalance [2]