Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-06 05:08Core Viewpoint - Chinese assets have shown a strong rebound, with significant gains in various indices and stocks, indicating renewed interest from global investors in the Chinese market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index rose by 1.29%, and the three-times leveraged FTSE China ETF surged over 4%, reversing a week-long decline [1][2]. - Popular Chinese concept stocks experienced substantial increases, with Dingdong Maicai rising over 10% and Baidu increasing nearly 6% [1][2]. - Multiple foreign institutions have released optimistic reports on Chinese assets, with Morgan Stanley redefining the Chinese stock market as a "growth market" [2]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - Morgan Stanley set a target for the CSI 300 Index at 4840 points by December 2026, suggesting a forward P/E ratio for the MSCI China Index in the range of 12 to 13 times [2]. - JPMorgan's Rajiv Batra noted that the Chinese stock market is in the early stages of recovery, with attractive valuations and relatively low holding levels [2][3]. - Various institutions, including OECD and Goldman Sachs, have raised their GDP growth forecasts for China, with Goldman Sachs adjusting its 2025 forecast from 4.9% to 5.0% [3]. Group 3: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Expectations - The U.S. core PCE price index for September rose by 0.2% month-on-month and 2.8% year-on-year, aligning with expectations and reinforcing the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve [4][5]. - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has risen to 87.2%, with expectations for further cuts in early 2026 [5][6].