Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - A bullish thesis on Amazon.com, Inc. emphasizes its growth potential, particularly in AWS and AI, suggesting the stock is fairly valued and an attractive long-term investment [1][4][5]. Financial Performance - Amazon has doubled its operating cash flow since 2020, with a stock price increase of only 40%, leading to a compression in its price-to-operating cash flow ratio from 25x to 19x [2]. - The company's revenue from remaining businesses is currently $551 billion, with a potential net income of $127 billion, indicating significant intrinsic value [4]. AWS Growth Potential - AWS is expected to reaccelerate growth above 25% with the launch of Anthropic's AWS clusters, which could lead to sustained annual growth of 20% over the next five years [3]. - If successful, AWS could generate $305 billion in revenue by 2030, contributing over $90 billion in net income, valuing the segment at $2.3 trillion [3]. Market Position and Valuation - Amazon's intrinsic value is estimated at around $2.6 trillion, approximately 10% above current market levels, reflecting its scale, profitability, and strategic positioning [4]. - The company remains a popular choice among hedge funds, with 335 portfolios holding AMZN shares, indicating strong institutional interest [6].