Ge Long Hui·2025-12-06 12:49Core Viewpoint - Positive feedback on Zoomlion following the 2026 capital goods sector outlook and investor call, indicating a meaningful recovery in domestic demand for crane and concrete machinery and solid growth in earth-moving machinery [1] Domestic Market Performance - Domestic machinery sales growth for Zoomlion in October-November estimated at 20-30% YoY, an acceleration from 13% YoY in Q3 2025 [1] - Continued recovery in demand for crane and concrete machinery noted, with earth-moving machinery also showing solid growth [1] International Market Performance - Strong sales growth for Zoomlion in overseas markets during October-November [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Earnings forecast for Zoomlion remains unchanged, with a target price (TP) for A-shares maintained at RMB12.0 and H-shares at HK$9.2 [1] - Target price for A-shares based on a 2026E target P/E multiple of 18.6x, reflecting an emerging market expansion story [1] - H-share target price reflects a 30% discount based on historical averages [1] Growth Drivers - Mining equipment identified as a structural growth driver, with current revenue contribution from mining equipment (including excavators and trucks) at 6-7%, expected to increase to 15% in the coming years [1]